Copper

Disaggregated COT · CFTC 085692

Producer hedge ratio8.6%Under-hedged · Bullish
PhaseCapitulation
Producer net-35,000
Managed money net-20,000

Disaggregated positioning

Producers hedge by selling — heavy producer shorts at low prices are bullish.

CategoryLongShortNet
Producer / Merchant60,00095,000-35,000
Swap Dealers40,00030,000+10,000
Managed Money70,00090,000-20,000
Other Reportables20,00018,000+2,000
Non-Reportables15,00014,000+1,000
Open interest250,000 (-3,000)

Commercial vs speculator

When commercials (smart money) and speculators diverge, commercials usually win.

Aligned
Commercial net
-25,000
Speculator net
-20,000

Market reference

Contract spec and its currency linkage.

Contract size
25,000 lbs
Correlated currency
AUD
Correlation
0.78
Report date
2026-05-26